Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000255 0.000286 0.000319 0.000356 0.000398 0.000443 0.000496
2025-04-06 0.000213 0.000254 0.000301 0.000358 0.000426 0.000504 0.000602
2025-04-13 0.000181 0.000229 0.000285 0.000359 0.000450 0.000562 0.000707
2025-04-20 0.000155 0.000205 0.000269 0.000354 0.000466 0.000608 0.000803
2025-04-27 0.000141 0.000195 0.000266 0.000365 0.000502 0.000682 0.000940
2025-05-04 0.000128 0.000184 0.000260 0.000371 0.000530 0.000748 0.001072
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.000173 0.000253 0.000375 0.000554 0.000810 0.001202
2025-05-18 0.000104 0.000161 0.000244 0.000373 0.000570 0.000859 0.001318
2025-05-25 0.000097 0.000154 0.000239 0.000378 0.000595 0.000924 0.001462
2025-06-01 0.000087 0.000143 0.000230 0.000373 0.000605 0.000967 0.001574
2025-06-08 0.000080 0.000136 0.000223 0.000372 0.000621 0.001017 0.001702
2025-06-15 0.000075 0.000129 0.000218 0.000373 0.000639 0.001073 0.001843
2025-06-22 0.000068 0.000121 0.000211 0.000371 0.000652 0.001124 0.001983
2025-06-29 0.000064 0.000116 0.000207 0.000374 0.000674 0.001192 0.002159
2025-07-06 0.000059 0.000111 0.000202 0.000375 0.000693 0.001257 0.002335
2025-07-13 0.000054 0.000104 0.000195 0.000370 0.000701 0.001303 0.002480
2025-07-20 0.000052 0.000103 0.000196 0.000382 0.000742 0.001409 0.002747
2025-07-27 0.000049 0.000100 0.000195 0.000388 0.000771 0.001498 0.002989
2025-08-03 0.000046 0.000096 0.000192 0.000392 0.000796 0.001580 0.003223
2025-08-10 0.000043 0.000092 0.000187 0.000390 0.000809 0.001640 0.003418
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000089 0.000186 0.000395 0.000837 0.001731 0.003684
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000084 0.000180 0.000390 0.000845 0.001782 0.003869
2025-08-31 0.000036 0.000081 0.000176 0.000390 0.000860 0.001849 0.004095